{"id":406,"date":"2021-12-06T05:37:21","date_gmt":"2021-12-06T05:37:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/princetonillinois.com\/?p=406"},"modified":"2021-12-06T05:37:21","modified_gmt":"2021-12-06T05:37:21","slug":"why-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-matters-so-much-quanta-magazine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/princetonillinois.com\/?p=406","title":{"rendered":"Why NASA&#039;s James Webb Space Telescope Matters So Much &#8211; Quanta Magazine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em data-reactid=\"223\">December 3, 2021<\/em><br \/>The James Webb Space Telescope promises to revolutionize our understanding of distant planets and deep time.<br \/>Dustin Yellin for Quanta Magazine<br \/><em data-reactid=\"270\">Senior Writer\/Editor<\/em><br \/><em data-reactid=\"273\">December 3, 2021<\/em><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">To look back in time at the cosmos\u2019s infancy and witness the first stars flicker on, you must first grind a mirror as big as a house. Its surface must be so smooth that, if the mirror were the scale of a continent, it would feature no hill or valley greater than ankle height. Only a mirror so huge and smooth can collect and focus the faint light coming from the farthest galaxies in the sky \u2014 light that left its source long ago and therefore shows the galaxies as they appeared in the ancient past, when the universe was young. The very faintest, farthest galaxies we would see still in the process of being born, when mysterious forces conspired in the dark and the first crops of stars started to shine.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But to read that early chapter in the universe\u2019s history \u2014 to learn the nature of those first, probably gargantuan stars, to learn about the invisible matter whose gravity coaxed them into being, and about the roles of magnetism and turbulence, and how enormous black holes grew and worked their way into galaxies\u2019 centers \u2014 an exceptional mirror is not nearly enough.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The reason no one has seen the epoch of galaxy formation is that the ancient starlight, after traveling to us through the expanding fabric of space for so many billions of years, has become stretched. Ultraviolet and visible light spewed by the farthest stars in the sky stretched to around 20-times-longer wavelengths during the journey here, becoming infrared radiation. But infrared light is the kind of atom-jiggling light we refer to as heat, the same heat that radiates from our bodies and the atmosphere and the ground beneath our feet. Alas, these local heat sources swamp the pitiful flames of primeval stars. To perceive those stars, the telescope with its big perfect mirror has to be very cold. It must be launched into space.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The catch is that a house-size mirror is too large to fit in any rocket fairing. The mirror, then, must be able to fold up. A mirror can only fold if it\u2019s segmented \u2014 if, instead of a single, uninterrupted surface, it\u2019s a honeycomb array of mirror segments. But in order to collectively create sharp images, the mirror segments, after autonomously unfolding in space, must be in virtually perfect alignment. Spectacularly precise motors are needed to achieve a good focus \u2014 motors that can nudge each mirror segment by increments of half the width of a virus until they\u2019re all in place.<\/span><br \/><em data-reactid=\"412\">Get Quanta Magazine delivered to your inbox<\/em><br \/>The assembled telescope stands tall with its mirror folded at Northrop Grumman\u2019s facility in California.<br \/>Northrop Grumman<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The ability to see faint infrared sources doesn\u2019t just grant you access to the universe\u2019s formative chapter \u2014 roughly the period from 50 million to 500 million years after the Big Bang \u2014 it would reveal other, arguably just as significant aspects of the cosmos as well, from properties of Earth-size planets orbiting other stars to the much-contested rate at which space is expanding. But for the telescope to work, one more element is required, beyond a flawless mirror that autonomously unfolds and focuses after being shot into the sky.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Even in outer space, the Earth, moon and sun all still heat the telescope too much for it to perceive the dim twinkle of the most distant structures in the cosmos. Unless, that is, the telescope heads for a particular spot four times farther away from Earth than the moon called Lagrange point 2. There, the moon, Earth and sun all lie in the same direction, letting the telescope block out all three bodies at once by erecting a tennis court-size sunshield. Shaded in this way, the telescope can finally enter a deep chill and at long last detect the feeble heat of the cosmic dawn.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The sunshield is both an infrared telescope\u2019s only hope and its Achilles heel.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In order to unfurl to large enough proportions without weighing down a rocket, the sunshield must consist of thin fabric. (The whole observatory, for that matter, including its mirrors, cameras and other instruments, its transmitters and its power sources, must have only about 2% of the typical mass of a large ground-based telescope.) Nothing about building a giant yet lightweight infrared-sensing spacecraft is easy, but the unavoidable use of fabric makes it an inherently risky affair. Fabric is, engineers say, \u201cnondeterministic,\u201d its movements impossible to perfectly control or predict. If the sunshield snags as it unfurls, the whole telescope will turn into space junk.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Currently, the telescope \u2014 which has, incredibly, been built \u2014 is folded up and ready to be placed atop an Ariane 5 rocket. The rocket is scheduled for liftoff from Kourou, French Guiana, on December 22, more than 30 years after its payload, the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), was first envisioned and sketched. The telescope is 14 years behind schedule and 20 times over budget. \u201cWe\u2019ve worked as hard as we could to catch all of our mistakes and test and rehearse,\u201d said John Mather, the Nobel Prize-winning astrophysicist who has been chief scientist of the NASA-led project for 25 years. Now, he said, \u201cwe\u2019re going to put our zillion-dollar telescope on top of a stack of explosive material\u201d and turn things over to fate.<\/span><br \/><strong>Video<\/strong>: The James Webb Space Telescope is like nothing ever launched into space. It could explore the universe\u2019s very first stars, uncover evidence of extraterrestrial life \u2014 or literally hit a snag and become worthless.<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/authors\/ebuder\">Emily Buder<\/a>\/Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The story of JWST\u2019s development over the past three decades has paralleled the tremendous progress we\u2019ve made in our understanding of the cosmos, not least because of Webb\u2019s predecessors. With the Hubble Space Telescope, we\u2019ve learned that stars, galaxies and supermassive black holes existed far earlier in cosmic history than anyone expected, and that they have since undergone radical change. We\u2019ve learned that dark matter and dark energy sculpt the cosmos. With the Kepler telescope and others, we\u2019ve seen that all manner of planets decorate galaxies like baubles on Christmas trees, including billions of potentially habitable worlds in our Milky Way alone. These discoveries have raised questions that the James Webb Space Telescope can address. Astronomers also hope that, as with other telescopes, its sightings will raise new questions. \u201cEvery time we build new equipment,\u201d Mather said, \u201cwe get a surprise.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The launch will begin what the astronomer Natalie Batalha called \u201csix months of pins and needles,\u201d as the staggeringly complex telescope will attempt to unfold and focus itself in hundreds of steps. The observatory will spend a month floating 1 million miles to Lagrange point 2. On the way, it will transform into a celestial water lily, positioning its giant blossom of gold-plated mirror segments atop an even bigger silver leaf.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cIt will be our own \u2018dare mighty things\u2019 moment,\u201d said Grant Tremblay, an astrophysicist at Harvard University who served on the telescope\u2019s time allocation committee. \u201cIt\u2019s going to do amazing things. We\u2019ll be in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The New York Times<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> talking about how this is witnessing the birth of stars at the edge of time, this is one of the earliest galaxies, this is the story of other Earths.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cPlease work,\u201d Tremblay added, his eyes fluttering upward.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The last time NASA launched an observatory of such significance \u2014 the Hubble Space Telescope, in 1990 \u2014 it was a disaster. \u201cAbsolutely catastrophic,\u201d the veteran astronomer <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ucolick.org\/~faber\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sandra Faber<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> told me. Faber was on the team that camped out at NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, to diagnose the disorder. From the way a star in one of Hubble\u2019s photos looked like a ring, she and a colleague inferred that the primary mirror \u2014 the big, concave one that bounced light to a secondary mirror that then reflected it onto a camera lens \u2014 had not been ground down to quite the right concavity to focus the light; it was half a wavelength too thick around the edge. If the primary and secondary mirrors had been tested together before launch, this aberration would have been noticed, but in the rush to get the long-delayed and over-budget telescope aloft, that testing never happened.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Some NASA leaders called for abandoning the telescope, which was already a controversial project. Instead, Senator Barbara Mikulski of Maryland secured the funds for a rescue mission. Fixing it was possible because, as an optical telescope that\u2019s sensitive to the colors of the rainbow rather than to infrared light, Hubble can get a clear view from low-Earth orbit, only 340 miles up, instead of having to travel a million miles away. In 1993, the space shuttle docked with Hubble, and astronauts installed a sort of contact lens. The telescope would go on to revolutionize astronomy and cosmology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Images of the galaxy M100 taken by the Hubble Space Telescope before and after astronauts installed a corrective lens on the telescope\u2019s primary mirror in December 1993. <\/span><br \/>NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Perhaps the most important question about the universe for much of the 20th century was whether it had a beginning or if it has always been this way. For the British cosmologist Fred Hoyle and other believers in the latter \u201csteady state\u201d theory, \u201cthe compelling logic was simplicity,\u201d said Jay Gallagher, an astronomer and professor emeritus at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. \u201cThat at one point something changed and the universe created matter, why did that have to be?\u201d Hoyle, the steady-state proponent, attributed his rivals\u2019 belief in the \u201cBig Bang\u201d (as he dubbed it) to the influence of the Book of Genesis. <\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Then came a hiss in a radio antenna at Bell Labs in New Jersey in 1964. The hiss was generated by microwaves arriving from everywhere in the sky, exactly as predicted by the Big Bang theory. (The light was released in an early phase transition as the hot, dense universe cooled.) The discovery of the cosmic microwave background, as it was called, did not immediately end the debate \u2014 steady-state folks like Hoyle distrusted its interpretation and clung to their theory for many more decades. But for others, who recognized the afterglow of the Big Bang when they saw it, the CMB created a puzzle. The near-perfect uniformity of microwaves coming from all parts of the sky indicated that the newborn universe was astonishingly smooth \u2014 a pur\u00e9e of matter. \u201cThe puzzle is we see a very lumpy universe today,\u201d said Faber, who was a graduate student studying galaxies in the late \u201960s. \u201cSo the first challenge in understanding galaxies is to understand how the universe goes from smooth to lumpy.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cosmologists knew atoms must have gradually clumped together because of gravity, eventually fracturing into structures like stars and galaxies. But on paper, it seemed that the growth of structure would have been extraordinarily slow. Not only was matter initially smoothly distributed, and thus pulled in no particular direction by gravity, but the expansion of space and the pressure created by light itself would both have worked to separate matter, counteracting its weak gravitational attraction.\u00a0<\/span><br \/>Samuel Velasco\/Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Enter dark matter. In the 1970s, Vera Rubin of the Carnegie Institute of Washington observed that the outskirts of galaxies rotate much faster than expected, as if whipped around by some extra, invisible source of gravity. This evidence for substantial missing matter in and around galaxies, dubbed dark matter, matched Fritz Zwicky\u2019s 1930s observations that galaxies seem to attract each other more than they should based on their luminous matter alone. Also in the \u201970s, Jim Peebles and Jerry Ostriker of Princeton University <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ui.adsabs.harvard.edu\/abs\/1973ApJ...186..467O\/abstract\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">calculated<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that rotating galactic disks consisting only of stars, gas and dust should become unstable and swell into spheres; they posited that invisible matter must be creating a stronger gravitational well within which the visible disk rotates. In 1979, Faber and Gallagher wrote <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.annualreviews.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1146\/annurev.aa.17.090179.001031\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">an influential paper<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> compiling all the evidence for dark matter, which they pegged at about 90% of the matter in the universe. (The current estimate is about 85%.)\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">These researchers realized that dark matter, with its substantial gravity and imperviousness to light\u2019s pressure, could have bunched up relatively quickly in the early universe. Peebles, who won half of the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/nobel-prize-in-physics-to-james-peebles-michel-mayor-and-didier-queloz-20191008\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">2019 Nobel Prize in Physics<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for his contributions to cosmology, developed a qualitative picture in which dark matter particles would have glommed together into clumps (known as halos) that then combined into bigger and bigger clumps. The British astrophysicist Simon White demonstrated this \u201chierarchical clustering\u201d process in primitive 1980s computer simulations. Though visible matter was at that time too complicated to simulate, researchers surmised that the conglomerating dark matter would have brought luminous matter along for the ride: Corralled within dark matter halos, atoms would have bumped together, heated up, sunk toward the center and eventually gravitationally collapsed into stars and disk-shaped galaxies.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Although most cosmologists became convinced of this picture, a big question was how variations in the density of matter initially set in, jump-starting the gravitational clustering process. \u201cPeople had no clear idea about what were reasonable initial conditions about the formation of cosmic structure,\u201d White, who is now retired and living in Germany, told me over Zoom. \u201cYou could run these simulations, but you didn\u2019t have any idea what you should put in at the beginning.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cSPECTACULAR REALIZATION,\u201d the cosmologist Alan Guth scrawled in his notebook in 1979. He had calculated that if space suddenly blew up like the surface of a balloon at the start of the Big Bang, this would explain how it got so huge, smooth and flat. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/videos\/where-did-the-universe-come-from\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cosmic inflation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, as Guth dubbed the primordial growth spurt, quickly became popular as a Big Bang add-on. Cosmologists soon <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ui.adsabs.harvard.edu\/abs\/1983veu..conf.....G\/abstract\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">noted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that, during inflation, quantum fluctuations in the fabric of space would have gotten frozen in as space blew up, producing subtle density variations throughout the universe. The putative dense spots created by inflation could have served as the seeds of future structures.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 1979, Alan Guth realized that a burst of exponential expansion at the start of the Big Bang would explain several puzzling properties of the universe.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><br \/>On loan to the Adler Planetarium\u2019s collection by Dr. Alan Guth<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">These tiny density variations were indeed measured in the CMB in the early 1990s \u2014 the feat that earned John Mather, the Webb telescope\u2019s top scientist, his Nobel. But even before they were measured, people like Faber were working the dense spots into the plot. In 1984, she and three co-authors published <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ui.adsabs.harvard.edu\/abs\/1984Natur.311..517B\/abstract\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">a paper in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nature<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that strung everything together. \u201cIt\u2019s the first soup-to-nuts description of how inflation can make fluctuations and what the fluctuations would do later to make galaxies,\u201d she said.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But the story was speculative from start to finish. And even if it was broadly true, key dates and details were unknown.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">One of the Hubble telescope\u2019s most impactful discoveries, and a major impetus for building its successor, the Webb, occurred in 1995, two years after its corrective lens was installed. Bob Williams, then the director of the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, the operations center for Hubble as it will be for Webb, decided at the suggestion of some postdocs to devote all 100 hours of his \u201cdirector\u2019s discretionary time,\u201d with which he could point Hubble wherever he wanted, to pointing it at nothing \u2014 a dark, featureless little patch of sky narrower than a thumbnail moon. The idea was to look for any incredibly faint, distant objects that might have been hiding beyond the reach of less sensitive telescopes.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Colleagues thought this was a waste. The late John Bahcall tried to talk Williams out of it. Bahcall and his wife, Neta Bahcall, well-known astrophysicists, were typical in thinking that structures like stars and galaxies arose relatively late in cosmic history. If so, then trying to resolve faint, faraway, long-ago objects wouldn\u2019t work, because none would exist. The Bahcalls and many other theorists thought Williams\u2019 photo would come out dark.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But during the 100-hour exposure, the lid of a treasure chest opened: The small rectangle of space glittered with thousands of galaxies of all shapes, sizes and hues. Astronomers were stunned.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Taken over 10 days in December 1995, the Hubble Deep Field photo revealed about 3,000 galaxies within a patch of sky about one-twelfth the width of the moon.<\/span><br \/>Robert Williams and the Hubble Deep Field Team (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.stsci.edu\/\">STScI<\/a>) and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/\">NASA<\/a>\/<a href=\"http:\/\/www.esa.int\/\">ESA<\/a><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Farther-away galaxies in the Hubble Deep Field photo appear redder, since their light has traveled longer through expanding space to get here and therefore has been stretched, or \u201credshifted,\u201d to longer wavelengths. Through this color-coding, the Deep Field image provides a 3D view of the cosmos and a timeline of galaxy evolution. Galaxies appear at all ages and stages of development \u2014 proof that the universe has changed radically over time. \u201cGone out of the window, never to be heard from again, was the steady-state theory,\u201d said Faber. \u201cThat was a great intellectual breakthrough, that you could take one picture with a telescope, you could look back in time, and you could see that the universe was a different beast back then.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The photo showed that bright objects formed in the universe far more quickly than most experts expected. This bolstered the theory that they didn\u2019t form on the strength of their gravity alone, but were carried on the backs of merging dark matter halos.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Galaxies in early times were strange-looking \u2014 small and disheveled, like ugly ducklings that would take billions of years to grow into swans. \u201cThe beautiful universe with the beautiful [spiral and elliptical galaxies] of today is really kind of a late development,\u201d Faber said, \u201cand that too was visible in the picture.\u201d Some of the duckling galaxies were colliding and merging, supporting the hierarchical clustering theory of cosmic structure growth. And clumps of stars in the long-ago galaxies were surprisingly bright, indicating that the stars were far more massive and luminous than modern, sun-type stars.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Astronomers observed that most galaxies reached peak luminosity, forming stars most quickly, around \u201credshift 2\u201d \u2014 the distance from which light has stretched to twice its emitted wavelength by the time it gets here, corresponding to about 2 billion years after the Big Bang. After that, for reasons now thought to relate to the mysterious supermassive black holes growing at galaxies\u2019 centers, many galaxies dimmed.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The most striking thing about the timeline of galaxy evolution visible in the Deep Field photo, though, was that there\u2019s no beginning in sight. As far as Hubble\u2019s glass eye could see, there were galaxies. In even deeper-field photos taken with upgraded cameras that astronauts installed on the telescope later, smudges of light have been tentatively spotted as far off as redshift 10, which corresponds to around 500 million years after the Big Bang. It\u2019s now thought likely that structures started forming hundreds of millions of years before that.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But galaxies in the process of forming, their matter somehow fragmenting into stars for the first time, are both too far and too faint for Hubble to detect, and too redshifted: The light from these galaxies has stretched straight out of the visible part of the electromagnetic spectrum and into the infrared. To see them, we need a bigger, infrared-sensing telescope.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cWhat Hubble succeeded in doing with the Hubble Deep Field is finding that there were galaxies at redshifts much higher than we thought,\u201d Neta Bahcall told me. \u201cA question for James Webb is when did it start, and how did it start so early.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In October 1995, two months before Hubble stared at nothing and glimpsed the history of time, the Swiss astronomer Michel Mayor announced another major discovery at a conference in Florence, Italy: He and his graduate student, Didier Queloz, had spotted a planet orbiting another star.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the back of the auditorium at Mayor\u2019s talk, Natalie Batalha, then a graduate student from California, failed to register the importance of what she had just heard. \u201cIt\u2019s funny how these things happen, because in retrospect it was a pivotal moment,\u201d Batalha said recently, framed by three planets orbiting a star in her virtual background. \u201cIt was the dawn of this new era of exoplanet exploration, but was also a transformational moment in my life, and I didn\u2019t know it yet.\u201d<\/span><br \/>Didier Queloz (left) and Michel Mayor in 1995, shortly after the publication of the <em>Nature<\/em> paper announcing the discovery of the exoplanet 51 Pegasi b.<br \/>Courtesy of Didier Queloz<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">At the time, exoplanet searching was a scientific backwater, and Mayor and Queloz\u2019s method <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/content\/117\/2\/799\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">had seemed like a long shot<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Using a spectrograph, which splits starlight into its color components, they monitored more than 100 sunlike stars hoping to detect a Doppler shift, where an object looks bluer or redder when it\u2019s approaching or receding, respectively. This could indicate that the star is wobbling because it is disturbed by the gravity of an orbiting planet. The technique seemed far-fetched because a planet would have to be ludicrously heavy and close to its host star to set the star wobbling enough to be seen with the best available spectrographs. Yet when Mayor and Queloz looked at 51 Pegasi, a sunlike star 50 light-years away, the wobble was huge: Eliminating other possibilities, they determined that a Jupiter-size planet whips around the star once every 4.2 days, eight times closer in than Mercury\u2019s distance from our sun.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Not only had Mayor and Queloz bagged an exoplanet (and, eventually, the other half of the 2019 Nobel Prize in Physics, shared with Peebles), the planet itself, 51 Pegasi b, single-handedly upended the textbook understanding of what solar systems are like. As the planetary scientist Heidi Hammel put it, \u201cWe had been taught a lovely fairy tale about how our solar system formed,\u201d one designed to explain why rocky planets lie close to a star while giant gas and ice planets form far away. So what was 51 Pegasi b, a \u201chot Jupiter,\u201d doing practically grazing its sun?\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Batalha remembers the audience\u2019s reaction in Florence to Mayor\u2019s presentation \u2014 silence. Soon enough, though, skepticism gave way to more hot-Jupiter discoveries. And as telescopes and techniques improved, other exoplanets showed up as well. Sixteen years after that day in Florence, Batalha would lead the NASA team that discovered the first confirmed rocky exoplanet, Kepler 10b.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Natalie Batalha, an astronomer at the University of California, Santa Cruz, led the team that discovered the first rocky exoplanet. She\u2019ll oversee some of JWST\u2019s first\u00a0exoplanet observations.<\/span><br \/>Marcos Rocha for Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Growing up in California\u2019s East Bay, Batalha (then Natalie Stout) hardly thought about science, though she was thrilled, at age 17, by Sally Ride\u2019s trip to space in 1983. Though neither of her parents went to college, she was accepted at the University of California, Berkeley, entering as a business major. But then, while she was doing laundry one weekend sophomore year, she remembers suddenly saying to herself: \u201c\u2018Forget talent, resources. If I could do anything in the world, what would it be?\u2019 And surprisingly the answer came to me immediately, and it was to work for the space program.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">She enrolled in a physics class. She struggled, but loved it. That everyday happenings could be explained with mathematical equations \u201cgave meaning to my life,\u201d Batalha said. \u201cIt made me see my place in the universe differently. I thought that if you could write an equation to explain the interference off of thin films\u201d \u2014 the reason oily puddles create rainbow shimmers \u2014 \u201cwhat limit is there to what we can know about the natural world?\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Batalha thought she\u2019d combine science with business somehow. She continued taking classes, then landed a summer internship at the Wyoming Infrared Observatory, one of the few ground-based infrared telescopes. When she got there, she told her adviser and cohort that she wasn\u2019t like them, that she wasn\u2019t planning on being a scientist. But when her adviser gave her a problem to work on and she solved it, which later led to a publication, he told her \u201cnot to sell myself short,\u201d she said, and to knock on Gibor Basri\u2019s door when she got back to Berkeley.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Basri, a stellar astronomer, put her to work analyzing star spectra. Experiencing the scientific method firsthand hooked her. She also fell in love with her office mate, Basri\u2019s postdoc, Celso Batalha. She married him, went to graduate school in astronomy at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and had a son, Nolan, and daughter, Natasha, in quick succession. Two more kids would follow. Over those years, she and Celso Batalha, who is Brazilian, moved the family back and forth between California and Rio de Janeiro. Life in Rio was beautiful but complicated; she remembers driving past some slums and seeing a charred corpse on the side of the road. They eventually settled in the Bay Area.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Considering herself primarily a mother who did astronomy on the side, Batalha never attended conferences. But when she was invited to present new data on star spots at a stellar spectroscopy meeting in Vienna in the fall of 1995, she made an exception, taking her parents along to Europe to babysit her youngest child. She decided to stay for another conference on planets that was taking place in Florence the following week. It was on the last day of the second conference that Batalha noticed a TV camera setting up for a talk that had been added to the schedule at the last minute. \u201cThen Michel Mayor gets up and just so nonchalantly talks about this planet discovery,\u201d she said.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">At first, Batalha thought little about the newfound hot Jupiter and kept studying star spots in Santa Cruz. Then a year or so later, she heard about a scientist at NASA\u2019s Ames Research Center in Silicon Valley named Bill Borucki who was determined to build a space telescope capable of detecting rocky, Earth-size exoplanets, not just gas giants. Borucki planned to use the transit method: Instead of tracking changes in the color of starlight as Mayor and Queloz had done, he would look for periodic dips in the starlight\u2019s intensity caused by an orbiting planet crossing in front of the star, blocking a small bit of its light.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Batalha didn\u2019t think this would work. Star spots, as she happened to know, are about the same size as Earth. So she thought a small transiting planet would be indistinguishable from a star spot sweeping around on a rotating star. She wrote to Borucki about the problem. He wrote back and said NASA had rejected his proposal in part for that very reason, and would she come work with him at Ames to figure out how to tell star spots apart from rocky worlds?\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">She would, and they did. Next time, NASA greenlit Borucki\u2019s proposal, and Batalha became a project scientist. The Kepler Space Telescope \u2014 designed by Borucki and his team to continually monitor the brightness of approximately 150,000 stars in search of the dips of transiting planets \u2014 lifted off in March 2009. The Batalhas took all four kids to Cape Canaveral, Florida, for the launch.<\/span><br \/>Samuel Velasco\/Quanta Magazine;\u00a0Source: NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kepler delivered on Earth-size planets. \u201cKepler 10b was identified in the first 10 days of data we got back from the spacecraft,\u201d Batalha said. When they graphed the brightness of the host star over time, the dip was visible to the eye. Follow-up observations from the ground confirmed it was a genuine planet and one that, based on its mass and radius, had to be rocky. Batalha presented the unequivocal detection in January 2011, following a more tentative claim of a rocky exoplanet labeled CoRoT-7b by astronomers in Europe. Neither Kepler 10b nor CoRoT-7b earned the coveted designation \u201cEarth-like,\u201d because they orbited near their parent star rather than in the \u201chabitable zone,\u201d where water is liquid. (The first rocky, watery and potentially Earth-like planet, Kepler 186f, made headlines in 2014. Batalha wasn\u2019t formally involved with the analysis.)<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Kepler telescope, before being prematurely hobbled by the failure of two of its motors, discovered more than 2,600 exoplanets. More than 4,500 have been counted in all, a sufficient number for astronomers to study their statistical properties. Just as 51 Pegasi b had suggested, our solar system is atypical. For instance, the most common type of planet in the galaxy is a size we don\u2019t have, in between rocky planets and giants. Planetary astronomers don\u2019t yet understand the surplus of these so-called super-Earths or sub-Neptunes, or what these midsize planets are like, or how they form. New principles of planet formation and evolution are needed.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Extrapolating the data so far, researchers think that our galaxy holds billions of rocky, watery planets, suggesting that life, too, might be common. Until we find evidence of life actually inhabiting another planet, though, it remains possible that its emergence on Earth was a fluke, and that we are alone.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Happily, the Webb telescope will be powerful enough to probe the atmospheres and climates of other Earths \u2014 or even, if we\u2019re very lucky, find evidence of an actual alien biosphere.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cInfrared is fantastic for exoplanets,\u201d Batalha said.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">One morning in 1987, the astrophysicist Riccardo Giacconi, who was then the director of the Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI) and of the yet-to-launch Hubble, asked deputy director Garth Illingworth to start thinking about Hubble\u2019s successor. \u201cMy immediate reaction is, \u2018Argh, we haven\u2019t even got Hubble launched yet, and we\u2019ve got a million things to do on there \u2014 it has major problems \u2014 so how can we do this as well?\u2019\u201d Illingworth recalled recently. \u201cHe said, \u2018Trust me, you\u2019ve got to start early because I know it takes ages to do this.\u2019\u201d Hubble had been under development since around 1970, spearheaded in its early years by the NASA astronomer Nancy Roman following decades of campaigning by Princeton\u2019s Lyman Spitzer; they are known as the mother and father of Hubble.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Illingworth, who is from Australia, got together with his STScI colleagues Pierre Bely of France and Peter Stockman of the U.S. to brainstorm about the next-generation space telescope. They had basically nothing to go on. \u201cWe started thinking about what would be good to go beyond Hubble and to complement whatever it did and explore new areas,\u201d Illingworth said, \u201cand the IR was one clear area.\u201d Infrared light is prohibitively difficult to observe from the ground. The trio figured that in space, where the infrared background is more than 1 million times lower, there would be plenty to see. \u201cWhen you put a powerful new capability out there, you open an immense number of scientific horizons.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For an IR telescope to be as sensitive as Hubble, which has a 2.4-meter-wide primary mirror, Illingworth, Bely and Stockman realized that it would need to be significantly bigger, since it detects bigger wavelengths. They considered that the mirror might have to fold to fit in a rocket. They also knew it had to be cold, otherwise its heat would saturate its own sensors. Rather than actively cool the telescope, they thought to exploit the extreme frigidity of outer space by blocking the heat of the Earth, moon and sun. Their vague conception of a large, passively cooled infrared telescope, greatly elaborated upon, would become the cargo now awaiting launch in Kourou.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Leading astronomers convened at STScI in 1989 to discuss the science that an infrared space telescope might be good for. Discussions slowed during Hubble\u2019s disastrous start and salvation, then picked up again in the mid-\u201990s. In 1995, John Mather, a reedy, gentlemanly astrophysicist at the Goddard Space Flight Center, got a call from NASA headquarters asking if he\u2019d like to join the project. Realizing that an infrared telescope \u201cwould do so much for so many people,\u201d he dropped everything and signed on. He\u2019s been JWST\u2019s top scientist ever since.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mather calls himself a \u201ctheoretical instrument builder.\u201d He started building telescopes as a kid in pastoral New Jersey, assembling parts from catalogs in the hope of getting a closer look at the surface of Mars. As a young man in the 1970s, Mather worked on a balloon-borne instrument that failed; he and his colleagues concluded that they hadn\u2019t tested it enough before launch. \u201cMurphy\u2019s law had been proven one more time,\u201d he wrote in an autobiographical account. But lessons learned led to the triumph of COBE, the NASA satellite experiment for which he and George Smoot would share the Nobel. In the early \u201990s, COBE measured the subtle variations in the cosmic microwave background that are thought to have seeded all later cosmological structures. In Mather\u2019s mind, theorizing about the cosmos is fine, but you need ingenious instruments to know anything for sure. \u201cSo let\u2019s build the equipment,\u201d he told me this fall. \u201cTo me that\u2019s a heroic thing to do.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">John Mather, an astrophysicist at NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center, has been the senior project scientist for the Webb telescope for a quarter century.<\/span><br \/>Umit Gulsen for Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mather had contemplated wild designs, including telescopes that fold. In the difficult budgetary climate of 1996, however, a committee of top astronomers studying the infrared telescope concept proposed a 4-meter mirror, which would fit in a rocket fairing, dramatically cutting costs and complexity. Illingworth thought this was \u201cstupid. It was not going to be as good as Hubble.\u201d NASA\u2019s leader at the time, Dan Goldin, evidently felt similarly. At the American Astronomical Society meeting that year, Goldin said in an address: \u201cWhy do you ask for such a modest thing? Why not go after 6 or 7 meters?\u201d As committee member Wendy Freedman remembers it, \u201cGoldin essentially said, \u2018You guys are really a bunch of scaredy-cats.\u2019\u201d He got a standing ovation. \u201cIn my mind he saved the telescope,\u201d said Illingworth. It would be bigger. It would also have to fold after all.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">After some heady talk about 8 meters, in 2001 NASA finally settled on 6.5 meters for the segmented mirror\u2019s diameter, giving the next-generation telescope more than six times Hubble\u2019s light-collecting area. The question was: How can you fit a 6.5-meter-wide mirror in a 5.4-meter-wide rocket fairing?\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cA big part of the design is how do you fold it up,\u201d Mather said. Outside contractors developed competing mirror designs. Lockheed Martin\u2019s mirror folded like six petals of a flower, Ball Aerospace\u2019s like a drop-leaf tabletop. TRW proposed putting mirror segments in place the way an old jukebox puts records down. After mulling over the proposals for a year, Mather and his team adopted bits and pieces from each. The main contract went to TRW because of the company\u2019s extensive experience building complex satellites for the U.S. military and its successful construction of the Chandra X-ray observatory. (TRW was soon purchased by Northrop Grumman.) The mirror design would be closer to Ball Aerospace\u2019s: an array of 18 hexagonal segments forming a larger hexagon that would fold on two sides. Mike Menzel, who spearheaded Lockheed Martin\u2019s proposal, was brought on by NASA as Webb\u2019s chief engineer.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The mirrors would be made of beryllium \u2014 light, strong, stiff stuff that\u2019s toxic in powder form (\u201cBeryllium is a pain in the neck, but it\u2019s the only thing that would work,\u201d according to Mather). Powdered beryllium was pressed into blocks in Ohio, then cut to shape in Alabama. The 18 mirror segments were then topped with a layer of gold, which is supremely reflective of infrared light, and polished in a California factory built specifically for the purpose. \u201cShaping and polishing telescope mirrors is a dark art that goes back hundreds of years,\u201d said Sarah Kendrew, a Belgian-British astronomer who works on MIRI, one of Webb\u2019s instruments.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Motors with unprecedented finesse would be needed to bring the hexagonal mirror segments into collective focus in space. \u201cThat\u2019s something we had to invent right away,\u201d Mather said. \u201cIf you can\u2019t do that, you can\u2019t make the whole observatory work.\u201d Ball Aerospace delivered actuators capable of nudging each of the gold hexagons in 10-nanometer increments, one ten-thousandth the width of a hair. Mather said the motors work by \u201cflexing,\u201d or \u201cconverting a big motion into a tiny motion,\u201d though Ball\u2019s design, despite being taxpayer-funded, is proprietary. \u201cWhen we take a picture of the telescope we have to make sure no one could see the motors,\u201d he said.<\/span><br \/>Samuel Velasco\/Quanta Magazine; Matt Twombly for Quanta Magazine. Source: NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 2002, the telescope got a name. NASA administrator Sean O\u2019Keefe broke a tradition of naming telescopes for scientists \u2014 the Hubble telescope, for instance, refers to the American astronomer Edwin Hubble \u2014 and instead honored an earlier administrator, James Webb, who was head of the space agency during the Apollo era. The choice was immediately unpopular with astronomers and has grown increasingly so. Last year, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-021-02678-1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">1,200 astronomers signed a petition<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> to rename the telescope after claims that Webb either aided or chose to ignore the firing of gay government employees during the Lavender Scare. After an investigation, NASA announced in October that historians found no evidence warranting a name change.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Various institutions, from the University of Arizona to the European Space Agency, signed up to build the cameras, spectrographs and coronagraphs that will swivel into place at the focal point of the optics, slicing and dicing different chunks of the pooled infrared light. In exchange, these institutional partners will command extensive telescope time.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As for the sunshield, the flimsy material on which the infrared telescope\u2019s fate rests, the team quickly settled on Kapton, a slithery silver plastic that looks like the inside of a potato chip bag but has the thickness of a human hair. Since it might tear, the sunshield would need many layers for redundancy \u2014 the team decided on five \u2014 and the layers would have to be unfurled, separated and held taut by a system of booms, cables and strings. Propulsion systems and solar panels would go on the sunward side, and the optics and instruments, which must operate below minus 223 degrees Celsius, would huddle on the dark side. \u201cJWST has a lot of firsts, an awful lot of significant firsts,\u201d Menzel, the chief engineer, told me, \u201cbut that sunshield is one of them.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Michael Menzel of NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center is the lead mission systems engineer for the Webb telescope \u2014 the chief engineer for the project.<\/span><br \/>Umit Gulsen for Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Menzel, who is thickset with a neatly clipped gray beard, oversees thousands of people\u2019s work on one of the most complicated engineering projects in history; he\u2019s also the type of person who tells you right away where they\u2019re from. That would be Elizabeth, New Jersey \u2014 Exit 13 off the turnpike \u2014 where his father drove a cab. On a recent Zoom call, Menzel bent his arm back and forth at the elbow to explain the challenge presented by the sunshield. \u201cIf you take something rigid, like a door, and you build a nice hinge, you can predict the way that moves,\u201d he said. \u201cThat\u2019s a piece of cake.\u201d He stopped bending his arm. \u201cNow you got blankets. They\u2019re floppy. Try to push on a blanket on your bed and predict the shape that it\u2019s going to go in. It\u2019s horrible. Same thing with a string \u2014 the strings that tension [the sunshield]. There\u2019s a million different ways that a string can move.\u201d It gets worse: \u201cNow put all this experience in zero-G, where that stuff can go in places you just don\u2019t want it to go.\u201d Smoothly unfolding the sunshield \u201cbecomes a very tough problem.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Around 2004, the NASA engineers Chuck Perrygo and Keith Parrish came into Menzel\u2019s office at Goddard and said they had a way to do it. Perrygo picked up a piece of paper on Menzel\u2019s desk and folded it into the shape of a Z. The sunshield could be folded into many more such zigzags, in what\u2019s sometimes called an accordion fold. \u201cI\u2019m pretty good at recognizing a bad answer, and I\u2019m pretty good at recognizing a right answer,\u201d Menzel told me, holding up a piece of paper he had folded into a Z shape. \u201cSo we all saw that and thought, that\u2019s a way to pursue it.\u201d Northrop Grumman was separately coming to the same conclusion.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The next question was how to hold the accordion fold in place until the sunshield was ready to unfurl. A Northrop Grumman engineer, Andy Tao, found the solution: 107 pins that retract like a cat\u2019s claws.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The pin approach sprouted another tricky problem: pins make pinholes. If, after unfurling, pinholes on all five Kapton layers were to line up, this would let a sunbeam through, heating the optics. \u201cIt was one of those arcane little details that you\u2019d never guess until you start getting into it and you start finding out, ah, Christ, five of the pinholes are lining right up and that\u2019s going to let sunlight right in,\u201d Menzel said. \u201cIt doesn\u2019t sound like much, but it was driving Andy to drink. And God bless him, he figured it out.\u201d Tao diligently sought out a suitable configuration of pins so that the holes in the five slightly-different-size Kapton layers would never align from any angle.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">During its monthlong journey to Lagrange point 2, the telescope will unfold in hundreds of steps.<\/span><br \/>NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The moles were being whacked so slowly that astronomers began referring to the situation as \u201cthe JWST problem.\u201d Back in 1996, Mather and his team estimated that the telescope would cost $564 million \u2014 a somewhat disingenuous guess aimed at getting Congress on board \u2014 and that it would launch in 2007. As the price tag soared and the launch date hopped ever farther into the future, Congress grew impatient. In 2011, JWST was nearly canceled, but elementary school students wrote letters to Washington and Senator Mikulski again came to NASA\u2019s rescue.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Glass, metal and plastic gradually got bolted together in clean rooms at Goddard, Northrop Grumman, Ball Aerospace and elsewhere. But the assembled hardware couldn\u2019t simply be sent skyward, because the telescope is going a million miles away, where astronauts with wrenches can\u2019t visit. As Northrop Grumman engineer Jon Arenberg once put it, \u201cThis is a one-strike-and-you\u2019re-out business.\u201d Webb must deploy flawlessly on the first and only try. That means it had to be extensively, painstakingly tested on the ground. And in 2017 and 2018, these tests turned up one problem after another.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">After a \u201cshake test,\u201d a bunch of screws and washers that had held the sunshield cover in place were found on the floor; they hadn\u2019t been properly torqued. Another time, the sunshield caught on a snag and tore. Once, it unfolded, but not without a string wrapping around something it shouldn\u2019t have.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The telescope got in another scrape when it was shipped to the Johnson Space Center in Houston, placed in the chamber where Apollo astronauts once practiced their moonwalks, and cryogenically cooled to simulate the conditions of outer space. While instrument builders like Sarah Kendrew were testing the cold hardware, Hurricane Harvey hit. The whole city catastrophically flooded, but the biggest worry for the Webb team was the liquid nitrogen supply. If it ran out, the telescope\u2019s temperature would rise too quickly, damaging the instruments. The liquid nitrogen suppliers had to be urged to send trucks through the floodwaters as a matter of national importance.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Webb telescope emerged from a vacuum chamber at NASA\u2019s Johnson Space Center in Houston on December 1, 2017, after about 100 days of cryogenic testing. Hurricane Harvey raged outside while the telescope experienced a cold, airless environment akin to that of space.<\/span><br \/>Chris Gunn\/NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Problems continued. Earlier this year, the transponders that will blip data back to Earth were found to be faulty and had to be repaired. \u201cA delay causes its own cascade of issues,\u201d Tremblay said \u2014 and more expense: \u201cIt costs $10 million a month just to keep James Webb on the clean room floor.\u201d As the investment rose, so did the need for the mission to succeed. \u201cIf NASA was willing to accept more risk, JWST would have been half the cost,\u201d Tremblay explained.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Finally, problems abated. Northrop Grumman engineers successfully unfolded the sunshield several times at its facility in Redondo Beach, California. But according to Menzel, even after the shimmery layers have spread smoothly open, \u201cwe aren\u2019t as elated as you might think. Because we all know that sunshield will only be as good as the last time it\u2019s folded.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Webb\u2019s final cost approaches $10 billion. That\u2019s nearly 20 times its sticker price, but still a few billion less than an aircraft carrier. Following some final pandemic-related delays, late 2021 became its target launch date. In September, the telescope passed a final test in Redondo Beach: Gold ears pinned back and blanket stashed away, the whole observatory was turned on its side, then righted, then checked to see whether anything had changed. Then it was put back on its side into a shipping container and taken away. Garth Illingworth, who has been involved with the telescope in a range of capacities since the beginning, went to Redondo Beach to see it off. There it had stood, \u201ctall and majestic,\u201d he wrote in an email. \u201cBy the next day the clean room was even empty of any JWST-related support hardware.\u201d The exact date of the shipping container\u2019s departure from California was kept quiet \u2014 a precaution against piracy on the high seas \u2014 but in early October it voyaged through the Panama Canal to French Guiana, a region near the equator where the European Space Agency launches its plus-size Ariane 5 rocket to exploit the extra kick of Earth\u2019s rotation.\u00a0<\/span><br \/>An engineer examines test mirror segments in the clean room of NASA\u2019s Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland; a technician helps to pack up the sunshield for the final time in February 2021.<br \/>Northrop Grumman<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Webb team is busy rehearsing the routines they\u2019ll execute 24\/7 out of Baltimore during Webb\u2019s monthlong journey to Lagrange point 2, followed by its five-month commissioning period. \u201cDo I feel confident?\u201d said Menzel. \u201cYes. I feel confident that we\u2019ve done everything we possibly could. The risk is acceptably low. It\u2019s as good as it\u2019s going to be. And I\u2019m pretty confident that we\u2019re going to do fine.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cCould something go wrong? Hell, yeah.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Once the Hubble got working, humanity soaked up the sight of the cosmos like near-sighted kids wearing glasses for the first time. We also learned there was stuff out there that we couldn\u2019t see.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 1998, two rival teams of astronomers used the Hubble along with other telescopes to observe supernovas in distant galaxies and ascertain that the expansion of the universe is accelerating. This exposed the existence of an accelerating agent infusing all of space, known as dark energy. There\u2019s so much space that dark energy makes up 70% of everything. (Another 26% is dark matter, and 4% is luminous atoms and radiation.)\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Other puzzles soon turned up. The astronomer Wendy Freedman used Hubble to observe pulsating stars called cepheids. From these, in 2001 she and her team measured how fast the universe is currently expanding, achieving 10% accuracy, a huge improvement over previous measurements. In the years since Freedman\u2019s measurement, the cosmic expansion rate has landed at the center of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/cosmologists-debate-how-fast-the-universe-is-expanding-20190808\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">the biggest controversy in cosmology<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. The issue is that, based on the universe\u2019s known ingredients and governing equations, theorists infer that space should currently be expanding more slowly than the measurements suggest. Its fast expansion may point to additional unknown ingredients in the cosmos beyond dark matter and dark energy. But Freedman, who is calm and authoritative, isn\u2019t convinced yet that the measurements are right. She\u2019ll lead a team that will use the Webb telescope to scrutinize cepheids and other stars more closely; they hope to measure the expansion rate precisely enough to tell for sure whether there\u2019s an exotic fundamental ingredient afoot.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Meanwhile, the Hubble Deep Field photo told a rollicking story of galaxy evolution that dramatically expanded human knowledge of cosmic history. But it remains to Webb to read the crucial first couple of chapters of the story.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Marcia Rieke, a longtime professor at the University of Arizona regarded as one of the pioneers of infrared astronomy, has spent the last 20 years overseeing the design and construction of NIRCam (as in \u201cnear-infrared camera\u201d), one of Webb\u2019s four main instruments. She and her team at Arizona are planning to use more than half of their whopping 900 hours of guaranteed telescope time to do a new deep-field survey, one that will peer deeper into the past than ever before. Whereas Hubble could see the faint smudges of galaxies at redshift 10, corresponding to 500 million years after the Big Bang, Webb should be able to see those smudges very clearly and spot brand-new galaxies germinating farther away, perhaps as far back as 50 or 100 million years after the Big Bang.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Rieke and her team will do one better than the Hubble deep field. After using NIRCam to get an image of their dark patch of the sky, they\u2019ll identify the galaxies in the patch that are farthest away and use NIRSpec, Webb\u2019s near-infrared spectrograph, to take the galaxies\u2019 spectra, from which Rieke and her colleagues can deduce their chemical compositions. Hubble didn\u2019t have a spectrograph.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The spectrum will show which elements of the periodic table existed in each proto-galaxy, and how their elements evolved over time. The standard story is that early gas clouds, stars and galaxies mostly consisted of hydrogen, and supernovas and other explosive events gradually forged heavier elements. \u201cBut there are curious things,\u201d Rieke said. \u201cClose to the limit that Hubble can go to, there are quasars\u201d \u2014 super-bright centers of galaxies powered by supermassive black holes \u2014 \u201cand it looks like they have almost the same elements as the sun. Which is hard to believe. So there\u2019s something that goes on early that we don\u2019t have a good handle on.\u201d<\/span><br \/>The Hubble Space Telescope is in low-Earth orbit, close enough for a Space Shuttle visit. This photo was taken after Hubble\u2019s fourth servicing mission in 2002. The fifth and final mission took place in 2009.<br \/>NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">There are as many reasons for wanting to see the first stars and galaxies as there are astronomers, astrophysicists and cosmologists. For Risa Wechsler, a cosmologist at Stanford University, it\u2019s a way to watch dark matter\u2019s handiwork. She and her colleagues will use the proto-galaxies to deduce the distribution of sizes of dark matter halos that must have existed in the early universe, and when they formed. This can reveal whether dark matter is \u201ccold,\u201d that is, made of slow-moving particles, or \u201cwarm,\u201d since particles that whizz around would have taken longer to huddle into halos. This temperature check would be a significant clue to dark matter\u2019s nature.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Other researchers want to understand the first stars. Some think Webb will see so-called \u201cPopulation III stars,\u201d primordial beasts that are hypothesized to have been roughly 10,000 times heavier than our sun. Such stars would help solve another major mystery of galaxy formation: how galaxies\u2019 centers ended up with supermassive black holes \u2014 physically small yet incredibly powerful gravitational sinkholes that can weigh billions of times the mass of our sun. Nobody knows how supermassive black holes grew so heavy, or when, or why their properties are correlated with properties of their host galaxies. One theory is that Population III stars seeded the holes, but there are a million other theories. Webb will look for signatures of the different scenarios.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Theorists have simulated many possibilities for how structures might have emerged in the young universe. But they can\u2019t simply start with the cosmic microwave background and evolve that picture forward on the computer to see what happened. \u201cA lot of the initial conditions are not well understood \u2014 things like the magnetic field, and how much turbulence there is in the gas,\u201d said Peter Behroozi, a theorist colleague of Rieke\u2019s at Arizona who simulates star and galaxy formation. It\u2019s \u201ca lot of work,\u201d he said, to get from a large, ever-so-slightly dense spot in the cosmic microwave background to a tiny cloud of gas that will gravitationally contract and make a star.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cOftentimes what people will do is, they\u2019ll just skip that,\u201d Behroozi said, and \u201cstart with a spherical cloud of gas. They don\u2019t know what the distribution of [dark matter] clump sizes will be, so they guess. They don\u2019t know about the magnetic field; they don\u2019t know anything about the spin or turbulence of the gas, so they\u2019ll fill all that in with guesses.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The guesswork has accelerated recently as researchers race to get their predictions on record before Webb shows how star and galaxy formation really went down. Even conservative guesses can produce simulations with wildly different outcomes. \u201cThe main conclusion from my research,\u201d Behroozi said, \u201cis even if you try to make a reasonable guess, we still have no clue what James Webb will see.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Natasha Batalha, Natalie Batalha\u2019s second child, was 18 when she went to Florida for the Kepler launch. She remembers tagging along with her younger sister in the viewing room where the NASA science team had gathered. \u201cDuring the launch, the anxiety that was in that space was chilling,\u201d she said on a recent video call. After liftoff, the scene turned jubilant. She found it inspiring to see a team accomplish something so grand, but it was the possibility of discoveries being so close at hand \u201cthat was really what flipped on my brain to start thinking about exoplanets as a concept,\u201d said Natasha Batalha, who is serious and precise, like her mother.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Space wasn\u2019t a constant topic of discussion in the Batalha household. \u201cI didn\u2019t want to saturate their lives with science,\u201d Natalie Batalha said. \u201cI always wanted them to feel like they were number one.\u201d But she and Celso did have \u201ca secret hope\u201d about Natasha. One evening in 1996 while Celso was teaching a night class, Natalie loaded up the half-asleep kids to drive them to a meadow so they look for the passing comet Hyakutake. Before they\u2019d pulled out of the driveway, five-year-old Natasha said from the back seat: \u201cWhat\u2019s that?\u201d She was pointing at the comet.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">When Natasha was eight and living in Brazil, her mother asked her and her siblings to draw an astronomer. Natasha drew a white man, and Natalie asked her why. \u201cThis was crazy for me, the daughter of a Latinx scientist and a female scientist; I still had these stereotypes ingrained in my mind,\u201d Natasha said. She suddenly felt empowered by the thought that she could belong in science.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A couple of years later she read Sally Ride\u2019s autobiography. Just as her mother had been inspired by Ride, Natasha decided to become either an astronomer or an astronaut. She dreamed of being the first person on Mars. After the Kepler launch, as more and more exoplanets were discovered, she grew interested in the possibility of extraterrestrial life and how we might infer its presence on those planets through telescope observations of their skies. She got a dual Ph.D. in astronomy and astrobiology. Then, soon after Kepler ended and her mom left NASA Ames to become a professor at Santa Cruz, Natasha took a job at Ames studying exoplanet atmospheres.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Natasha Batalha is part of a growing research community whose ultimate goal is to detect \u201c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/scientists-debate-signatures-of-alien-life-20160202\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">biosignature gases<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201d \u2014 gases in a planet\u2019s atmosphere that could only be there because of life. Every kind of molecule has characteristic wavelengths that it absorbs. So by collecting light from a star when a planet is and isn\u2019t transiting in front of it, and checking which wavelengths of starlight grow dimmer when the planet is there, you can see which molecules are present in the planet\u2019s sky.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Oxygen is an obvious candidate for a biosignature gas: It\u2019s so reactive that it\u2019s unlikely to be found unless the planet\u2019s oxygen supply is continually replenished by, say, a biosphere doing photosynthesis. Photosynthesis is such a simple and efficient energy-capturing procedure that astrobiologists think it\u2019s likely to evolve on any living planet, so oxygen is smart to look for.\u00a0<\/span><br \/>Samuel Velasco\/Quanta Magazine;\u00a0Source: NASA<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">But seeing oxygen by itself wouldn\u2019t necessarily be convincing. Computer simulations show that under some conditions, oxygen can fill the skies of lifeless planets. \u201cThe challenge is there\u2019s not one gas that\u2019s going to be a biosignature gas,\u201d said Hammel, the planetary scientist. \u201cMethane on Earth is mostly produced by cows \u2026 but you look at Neptune, and you can see tons of methane there, and that\u2019s not produced by cows.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A better biosignature is a peculiar mix of gases. \u201cIt\u2019s not going to be a single gas, it\u2019s going to have to be a combination of gases in a configuration that tells us they are in a disequilibrium state,\u201d said Hammel. \u201cThey can\u2019t have formed that way naturally.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Existing telescopes have already spotted molecular fingerprints in the skies of hot Jupiters, but these are lifeless planets. Detecting the weaker signals from rocky, possibly habitable planets\u2019 skies will require JWST. Not only will the telescope have close to 100 times Hubble\u2019s resolution, but it will see exoplanets far more clearly against the background of their host stars, since planets emit more infrared than optical light, while stars emit less. Importantly, Webb\u2019s view of exoplanets won\u2019t be obscured by clouds, which often prevent optical telescopes from seeing the densest, low-altitude layers of atmosphere. \u201cImagine being in a plane and looking down at an insane cloud deck, and you can\u2019t see the surface at all,\u201d Natasha Batalha said. \u201cWhen you look at infrared light, you can all of a sudden see through the cloud deck.\u201d<\/span><br \/>Marcos Rocha for Quanta Magazine<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Exoplanets will be among the targets in JWST\u2019s \u201cCycle 1\u201d round of observations, which it will start tackling as soon as deployment and commissioning are complete \u2014 about six months after launch. The exoplanet community elected Natalie Batalha to lead transit spectroscopy studies of three gas giants as part of these early observations. Her team will also develop data pipelines and processing techniques for the community to copy.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cycle 1 also includes observations for specific groups of astronomers. Last year, more than 2,000 groups submitted proposals to use JWST in the first cycle; a time allocation committee selected 266. Dozens of these programs will look at planets. When I video-chatted with Hammel, she screen-shared PowerPoint slides highlighting various exo-worlds of interest that Webb will turn its eye toward on behalf of different observers: Kepler 16b, which orbits two stars; the suspected \u201clava world\u201d 55 Cancri e; and the seven rocky planets of the nearby Trappist-1 star system. (Hammel, who gets 100 hours of guaranteed observer time as a longtime member of the Webb science team, will browse our own solar system, including Jupiter\u2019s red spot, the mysterious, far-flung objects of the Kuiper belt, and Hammel\u2019s oft-overlooked favorites, Uranus and Neptune, which appeared as a pair of plush toys behind her on her office couch.)\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Out of all the exoplanets that JWST will look at in Cycle 1, Natasha Batalha reckons that the three Trappist planets that orbit in their star\u2019s habitable zone probably have the best shot at featuring detectable biosignature gases. \u201cThe Trappist system is unique in that the star is very small, and so the relative feature size of the atmospheres doesn\u2019t need to be big in order for you to be able to see it,\u201d she said. Whether Webb has a realistic chance of spotting biosignature gases is debatable, however. \u201cOften the controversy comes up over the detection of oxygen,\u201d she said. Oxygen absorbs one infrared wavelength in Webb\u2019s range of sensitivity, and so theoretically an oxygen-rich transiting planet could put a noticeable dip in its star\u2019s spectrum at that wavelength. \u201cHowever,\u201d she said, the wavelength \u201cis just at the edge where the detector loses sensitivity.\u201d Other types and combinations of gases will be easier to detect but might be harder to definitively attribute to life.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Webb might just identify possibly living planets, which would then be examined more closely with future space telescopes. Astronomers are busy planning those now. NASA\u2019s Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, slated to launch later this decade, is mostly designed to study dark energy; Earth-like exoplanets are the purview of a future telescope concept provisionally known as LuvEx, an ultraviolet, optical and IR telescope that (if funded by Congress) will launch in the mid-2040s.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">What we will look at then depends on what we learn in the next few years.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">One morning this spring, Natasha Batalha woke up to a text from fellow exoplanet astronomer Johanna Teske: \u201cWe got it!\u201d The 266 selected Cycle 1 programs had just been announced, and a proposal led by Batalha, with Teske as her deputy, made the list.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Theirs will be the most extensive of all the exoplanet observing campaigns in the first cycle: a 142-hour survey of super-Earths and sub-Neptunes, the ubiquitous midsize \u201cbridge\u201d planets that our solar system lacks, and whose composition, habitability and formation history are unknown. Assuming that, over the next few months, everything unfolds as it should and the James Webb Space Telescope finds its focus, it will point at 11 of these planets on behalf of Natasha Batalha and her team. When she awoke to the good news, first she called Teske. Then she called her mom.<\/span><br \/><em data-reactid=\"750\">Senior Writer\/Editor<\/em><br \/><em data-reactid=\"753\">December 3, 2021<\/em><br \/><em data-reactid=\"890\">Get Quanta Magazine delivered to your inbox<\/em><br \/><em data-reactid=\"903\">Get highlights of the most important news delivered to your email inbox<\/em><br \/><small><em>Quanta Magazine moderates comments to\u00a0facilitate an informed, substantive, civil conversation. Abusive, profane, self-promotional, misleading, incoherent or off-topic comments will be rejected. Moderators are staffed during regular business hours (New York time) and can only accept comments written in English.\u00a0<\/em><\/small><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/why-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-matters-so-much-20211203\/\">source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December 3, 2021The James Webb Space Telescope promises to revolutionize our understanding of distant planets and deep time.Dustin Yellin for Quanta MagazineSenior Writer\/EditorDecember 3, 2021To look back in time at the cosmos\u2019s infancy and witness the first stars flicker on, you must first grind a mirror as big as a house. Its surface must be so smooth that, if the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"December 3, 2021The James Webb Space Telescope promises to revolutionize our understanding of distant planets and deep time.Dustin Yellin for Quanta MagazineSenior Writer\/EditorDecember 3, 2021To look back in time at the cosmos\u2019s infancy and witness the first stars flicker on, you must first grind a mirror as big as a house. 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